13:45GMT GBPUSD

12:05GMT SHORT traps ahead.. this may be a player trick..
10:30GMT I think GBPJPY 129.50ish was the lowest for now and it should try a 38.2% reversal is a probability but on condition about the fundamentals at 12:30GMT USA data release.
10:00GMT News on JPYs
"Unless the Japanese step in with something more definitive, we will see speculative accounts drive the dollar/yen down to 80 yen," said Paul Robson, RBS Global Banking currency strategist. "The 85 yen level was pretty important and now with that gone, dollar/yen falling to 80 is a real possibility. That will hurt the Japanese economy pretty hard, unless they do something more on the fiscal side or resort to more quantitative easing."
"That correlation is pretty strong at some 95 percent and the market knows full well that the options in front of the Japanese authorities are pretty limited," said Neil Mellor, currency strategist at Bank of New York Mellon."Any intervention will have limited shelf life, so now the Bank of Japan has to formulate policies which can undermine the yen's strength. This will not be easy and we could still be headed toward the 105 yen mark for euro/yen."
Japanese Prime Minister Naoto Kan and Bank of Japan Governor Masaaki Shirakawa discussed the yen by phone on Monday and agreed to work closely. However, Kan did not ask the central bank to ease monetary policy further, and the two did not touch on currency intervention either.
Market players say the most likely response may be for the BOJ to increase the size or extend the duration of its three-month fixed rate fund supply operation.
But traders were still skeptical the authorities would resort to yen-selling intervention unless the currency's rise picks up more speed."Japanese policymakers will be desperate to prevent a break in dollar/yen down to 80 but that looks the trend," Chris Turner, head of fx strategy at ING said in a note.
04:45GMT EURs is looking for reversal I think GBPs data release at 8:30GMT will be key for the levels and reversal..
03:45GMT GBPJPY pattern target..

01:25GMT Good Morning Friends, JPYs dropped and this will be an important day as weekly pattern walls shows that weekly RSI is below 30s. My pattern rule says that the levels of weekly -127% & -88.6% are important for EURJPY & GBPJPY. This will be long-term lows and best for longterm big LONGs. GBPs are influenced by today's data and as per yesterday's pattern chart it should hit the levels before or during data release.

Hi J, there is no data today at 830gmt for uk, only a small loan data which is not even listed at fxstreet - that is not a market mover, something else must be going on? DO you think we will see an extended move in gu or it will turnaround now? Thanks
ReplyDeleteHello again J, it must be time to buy back gu as it has hit -161.80% level on daily. What do you think? Thanks
ReplyDeleteGBPJPY hit daily -161.8 but GBPUSD looks like just hit Daily -127.0%. GBPJPY is a major mover & worry too - eventhough USDJPY is not moved much. FX Street is not always complete - GBPs Total Business Investment & BBA Mortgage - Medium mover from Dukascope calendar..available on my page (lower part in homepage).
ReplyDeleteHi J, you have good insight. Market is moving slightly higher after the data, well done. Are we ok to take longs in gu now for 200/300 pips trade? Thanks
ReplyDeleteAnd GJ...?
ReplyDeleteRich, Must apologise for GJ levels (first & foremost). I was expecting GJ to hit high before the fall but players decided not to. My forecast says that current levels consolidation will be there before any reversal i.e it will try to do the lowest of low and then reverse. You may be correct on target with 129-128 ish. The reversal target will be 135ish and it must do a fast reversal..
ReplyDelete