Tuesday, 7 September 2010

My Forecast

12:50GMT The tweet entries for Next session first entries was hit in JPYs.
10:20GMT I think EURJPY made its low for current trend.. around 106.70ish as tweet was looking for 106.60ish
08:10GMT No major data till Thursday.. expect ride based on rumours. My instinct says JPYs are looking to do new lows..may be a long DOWN-Spike/DOWN-trend. Both GBPUSD & EURUSD showing down trend at this moment..
02:20GMT Good Morning Friends, At last EURUSD gave up. EURs looks like completed the drop and GBPs just started UP. It will be a interesting day with ECB members talking.

7 comments:

  1. I am looking for technical reasons not to hedge my longs.
    This drop looks like it does want to continue.

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  2. if you pick weekly and monthly charts of JPYs crosses and draw the fibo levels (2006-7 highs to 2008 Low) then you will see that 2009-10 was a rebound to 38.2% level and now we are hitting back at 14.1%. Its technical in Patterns but I think we are at the lowest point of C in (X,A,B,C,D). Next to watch is whether JP Govt does something or will they try new low. My tech-indicators shows that we are going UP soon BIG-Time.

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  3. But my instinct says USDJPY will be tried for new low. So GBP & EUR must drive JPYs crosses UP. Complicated - yes this was the reason I was not recommending shorts/longs in My Forecast section today.. Thursday morning will be the best to decide.

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  4. Bullish divergence on the D,8,4 of GJ?
    Can we drop another 200 pips in a spike? I think yes.

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  5. J, how do you read GU? Is this the bottom? What is your midterm outlook? Thanks

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  6. Mohi, I think RSIs must hit below 18 and my guess is that it should hit 1.5270-60ish for this.

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